The Trade Bin, is look at trade scenarios and some general ideas and tips to make trading with other owners Introducing Hammerin Hank’s Trade
Bin!
The Trade Bin, is look at trade
scenarios and some general ideas and tips to make trading with other owners
(you may use the term Poolies, GM’s, Coaches,… I will call them owners) more
enjoyable and successful. While this is mostly with keeper leagues
and salary cap leagues in mind, the information should be useful in yearly
leagues as well.
I have a name I like to call these
different trade scenarios.
“The Long lost Friend”
“Block shopping”
“Fishing Expedition”
“Aggressive Negotiations”
“Long and Winding Road”
“Apple of my Eye”
“The Long lost Friend”
Today I take a look at the trade
that comes out of the complete blue. I call it the “Long Lost Friend”.
The exciting yet anxious moments as you are just opening the email to view the
trade details has that same feel as when you get a phone call from a long
lost friend and those first few seconds your mind reaches in your past as you
try to recognize who it is and what you are going to say. As you are
exchanging the initial pleasantries, you can’t help but realize there is
infinite number of possibilities to the context of their call. What is
about to come could be fantastic, welcome news and meet you at a perfect place,
or the other end of the spectrum and possibly leave you particularly sad.
Similarly you just can’t wait to feast your eyes on the trade details and see
if you are getting a gift or another stinker. Finally, you review the
trade offer. Now what? Well, here are a few tips.
1.
Always make sure you look the trade over thoroughly even if you don’t think it
looks right initially. Occasionally, an owner has sent you a trade that
is a gem, but if you fail to take the time to look at it, you may miss it. I
had someone wanting to move up in our summer prospect draft just a couple of
marginal spots a year or two ago and offered me Cory Conacher. I thought
“who?” I didn’t bother to look into him at all, just shot the trade down.
He just happened to be a player that slipped thru the cracks on me and now wish
I had taken the time to look into him.
2.
Make sure you include in your research a look at their team and see why they
are making that offer from their team perspective. Do they have an excess of
defencemen? Do they desperately need a center? Are they over the limit for
prospects?… For example, last season, I made a concerted effort to trade away
Nazim Kadri the weeks leading up to our trade deadline. Due to our keeper
rules, I had to trade him, or I would lose him at seasons end. I sent offer
after offer out and no one expressed any interest. While I was
asking for a decent amount for this top end prospect, not a one countered or
asked questions. Finally on the last day of trade deadline a smart owner
countered with a nominal draft pick. He took the time to look and realized the
bind I was in and recognized I would need to take about any offer at that
stage. His attention to detail has paid off big this year.
3.
Always be professional and courteous. As you are reviewing this trade, keep in
mind, the other owner had no starting point to work from, so these trades can
be all over the map. As stated above, sometimes they short change
themselves and send you a dandy, other times it is a very poor offer and
your instinct is to … well let’s just say not be very nice back to them.
Even if the long lost friend was calling just to ask you to send them money,
you would still be polite in your response. Refrain from negative
reaction and respect that they had enough guts to send you something.
4.
Use this offer as free information. Say an owner offers you their Stephan
Elliott (from their minor’s roster)for your Jeff Carter. Sure that is a
poor offer and you would turn that down, but use the fact they have just told
you they will trade Elliott in the right deal and they are interested in
acquiring Carter. With Elliott at a buy low status and with Carter's value
a little high right now being in the midst of a good season, you might be able
to tinker with one or the other. Maybe reply politely “not looking to
deal Carter, but might be interested in Elliott for a draft pick”, or “I might
be willing to deal Carter in a deal that includes John Carlson or Kevin
Shattenkirk”. This way, you politely get rid of the “fishermen”(I cover
this in a future article) and find out the owners real interest in
dealing Elliott away or obtaining Carter. Once in a while, things take
off from there and you get a nice trade completed.
5.
End with the “it was great to hear from you, call anytime”. If things go
nowhere and even if your best efforts could not keep things from turning sour,
make sure you close acknowledging their initiative and making sure you tell
them you are open to the process again. “Thanks again for the offer, I
don’t think anything is going to work out on this one, if you see something
else send me an offer any time” or “Appreciate the offers, I think we should
shelve this for now and maybe we can relook at something closer to the trade
deadline”.
Now let’s take a look at this
week’s trade question.
Hey Hank, my year just completed
and I finished just out of the money again. I am in a 12 team non-cap keeper
league. It is a multi-cat league(full scoring and roster below)*, we start 4
centers, 4 wingers, 5 dman and 2 goalies. As you can see by my
roster, I am solid everywhere but defense. I have several decent
ones, but lack a top end dman. I have been trying all year to get 1 top end
Dman and not a single owner has shown willingness to move one of their high end
dman. Finally, one owner seemed open to discussing Shea Weber and
further to my surprise sent me an offer of his Weber for my Corey Perry and
Joel Armia. I do get my Dman I need, but Perry in some rankings is the top 20
fantasy player and is a pretty heavy price. I am really high on Armia. What do
you think? Thanks, Mitch
Mitch, at first glance this does
cause pause as I am a Perry owner/lover. But a key to every trade
situation is to know your league scoring and roster set up. The
scoring(*in the interest of space, I am not posting his full scoring or roster)
is weighted heavier to dman (2.5 bonus points per hockey point) and to
centers(face offs won .10 pts.). So, under your scoring, Weber was an absolute
stud the year before. To no one’s surprise with Suter gone Weber’s numbers took
a step backward this past year. But even if this lesser production remains his
norm, he is destined to be a top 6-10 dman in your scoring format for the next
½ dozen years or more. In regards to your roster setup I see that LW and RW are
not separate positions. With both bunched together the winger pool is much
larger per starter needed, than centers and dman. This allows better odds to
get lucky at winger if looking to replace Perry, and as you have found out,
very low odds to get lucky at landing a top end dman. For example, 2
years ago Lupul and last year Clarkson/Kunitz were most likely waiver adds and
were within respectable distance of Perry in any format.
Final Analysis: First, I too like
Armia as a prospect and like his upside a lot, but there are way too many
variables in his development to give his loss the kind of weight to flush this
deal, oh and coincidentally, he is a winger. So it is down to the 2 studs to
me. Neither decision is a bad decision, as both players are set up to be
perennial top players at their position for the next several years. However, I
think your fellow owners gave you the best trade advice on this one. “not a
single owner has shown willingness to move one of their high end
dman” Based on your scoring and roster formats, and your team
roster, I believe your team is more likely better served over the years to accept
the trade and add Weber to your roster.
Best of Luck Mitch
Please send your trade questions
to me at henkedd@charter.net. I will be glad to provide an opinion and who knows maybe yours will be
posted in the next edition of The Trade Bin.